BayesTutorial

Description Click to Edit

Your friends and colleagues are talking about something called "Bayes' Theorem" or "Bayes' Rule", or something called Bayesian reasoning.  They sound really enthusiastic about it, too, so you google and find a webpage about Bayes' Theorem and...

It's this equation.  That's all.  Just one equation.  The page you found gives a definition of it, but it doesn't say what it is, or why it's useful, or why your friends would be interested in it.  It looks like this random statistics thing.

So you came here.  Maybe you don't understand what the equation says.  Maybe you understand it in theory, but every time you try to apply it in practice you get mixed up trying to remember the difference between

Your friends and colleagues are talking about something called "Bayes' Theorem" or "Bayes' Rule", or something called Bayesian reasoning.  They sound really enthusiastic about it, too, so you google and find a webpage about Bayes' Theorem and...

It's this equation.  That's all.  Just one equation.  The page you found gives a definition of it, but it doesn't say what it is, or why it's useful, or why your friends would be interested in it.  It looks like this random statistics thing.

So you came here.  Maybe you don't understand what the equation says.  Maybe you understand it in theory, but every time you try to apply it in practice you get mixed up trying to remember the difference between

Original URL Click to Edit

http://yudkowsky.net/bayes/bayes.html

http://yudkowsky.net/bayes/bayes.html